Monday, April 1, 2013

The GOP and Same Sex Marriage


The Barking RINO 4

This week the nation revisited the ideal that “all men are created equal.” In the past this great nation has done what many other nations have yet to do; faced our fears and expanded the ideal to include people of color and women. Today we are being asked consider whether “Nature’s God” withholds rights based upon whom we have sexual intercourse with.

As a party of religious and conservative people this issue embodies the historical struggle between “my faith” and “my government.” Generations of American’s have been confounded by this struggle between faith and government: both are sources of moral authority in our society and often they come into conflict.

The value of our Constitution and the ideals of our nation truly shine best when we use them to protect the rights of those we disagree with or those we do not like. This is expressed by James Madison in the Federalist Paper Number Ten. Nothing grinds my teeth more than those insensitive bastards from Westboro Baptist Church who protests at the funerals of fallen men and women of uniform. However, when the rights expressed in the Constitution protects those I find repugnant (as well as wrong in their Gospel teachings), I know those rights really do exist and that this great American experiment has not been in vain.

The divide on this issue represents a generational division. According to Gallup, today the majority of Americans are in support of homosexual marriages. [1] Even Republican and Evangelical attitudes are shifting rapidly on this issue. [2] In the recent report of future strategy compiled by RNC Chairman Reince Priebus, the term “inclusive” is used in regard to the party’s approach to immigrants, Hispanics and gays. Recently fallen-tea leaf reading Karl Rove suggests that the next GOP Presidential candidate could be supportive of homosexual marriage.[3] And so the slide begins.
BUT, is the slide a good or bad thing? Clearly it is inevitable.

Many conservatives are uncomfortable with the idea of endorsing Gay marriage. For most, the source of their authority is a faith that is more than 4,000 years old. Faith, as a pillar of authority in society must be respected; the thread of religion continues to weave its way through our society today despite what many feel has been an overt war against it. There is no debate that the Bible, and specifically St.Paul, wrote about the sin of homosexuality. But what else does the Gospel tell us about sin? “There is no one righteous, no not even one.[4]” The very foundation of an authentic Christian experience is the idea that we are all sinners and deserve death and condemnation. The Gospel means nothing if the validity of the substitutional atonement of Jesus Christ is negated. “For I am determined not to know anything among you except Jesus Christ and him crucified.” [5] As those with faith struggle with this issue, and rightly so, we are faced with the reality that our gospel defines each of us as sinners. Furthermore, despite some very bad theology that circulates about, there is no ranking of sin: God hates all sin whether it is for murder, homosexuality, adultery or gossip. In other words, why does the GOP target one form of sin while every one of us is equally sinful before God? This makes no sense.

Strategically, there are three positions one can take in this conflict between “my faith” and “my government.” We can fight the issue (although the results appear to be in the cards already), we can support the issue (which many are already doing and some simple cannot do) or we can do what most of us normally do, which is nothing. In this instance though, think of doing nothing as a proactive position of neutrality which manifests itself in not fighting against the extension of rights to other Americans. Arguably our God, our Constitution, our American ideals and the American experience tells us that extending rights to others is a good thing; even though we may harbor some uncomfortable thoughts about doing so. It’s okay to not “like” the idea of Gay marriage – older Americans feel this way, the significant swath of faithful feel this way. This conflict between how some feel versus what we all know needs to be done was also manifest in extending equal rights to blacks in 1863, 1964 & 1965 and to women in 1920.

What are the concerns? I’m no lawyer but I slept at a Holiday Inn once…
According to National Public Radio, polygamists are eyeing these court cases closely. [6] What the Court bases its findings upon and how it words its opinion is very important. As we have learned in the past, a well intended result can often be employed in the future as a precedent that opens doors to results which may not have been intended to be opened. Concern about absurb forms of marriage in the future is legitimate. This has the potential to be a slippery slope issue and we are correct to be concerned about this potential.

Also, what on earth was Congress thinking by invading a States Rights issue such as marriage? As a staunch fiscal conservative, less Federal government on just about any issue is good for me. In a sense, I believe “your government” ends at “my” front door. To misquote Thomas Jefferson, if Bob and Ted want to get married and pay their taxes, “it neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg.” (A friend posed this question, what if Ted wanted to sunbath in his backyard in a bikini. Okay, I am admittedly confused and therefore uncomfortable with this ‘transgender’ thing. Congratulate me for admittedly it.)

I have learned that the word ‘choice’ in this debate has a loaded meaning. In the past, in order to right past wrongs, our nation has given “super rights” to disenfranchised groups; such as Affirmative Action to African-Americans. While this has mostly died away today, if rights beyond mere equality are extended to Gay Americans, define the term homosexual. On one end of the continuum are those that are strictly heterosexual. On the other end are those that are strictly homosexual. But along that line of continuum are those that fluctuate back and forth. In other words, for some human sexuality is not one or the other. IF, and admittedly it is a very big if, so-called equalizing “super rights” are extended to homosexuals, how would this ‘cure’ be applied to those that exist between the two spheres on the end of the continuum described above?
In the end, either all men are created equal or they are not. In Nebraska, a state whose flag flies the motto ’Equality Before the Law’, we should be more sensitive to this as it aligns with our sense of Prairie Popularism (‘Go live your life in peace, pursue happiness and if you need help, call me; however, don’t expect my help to prop you up all the time, be self reliant and demonstrate appreciation of this great nation.’)

Advice to those engaging in this fight;

1.      Be careful how your rattle your saber. There are three states; support, opposition and neutrality. It would be foolish to alienate those that are neutral. Don’t make yourself a target; argue from a point of equality.

2.      Respect my faith. It is important to me and I will defend it. Remember, “my faith,” “my family” and “my government” are three ideas humans have historically given their lives to defend.

3.      Because someone disagrees today does not mean they will disagree tomorrow. Respectfully plant your seed with a good argument and wait. As polls indicate, this issue is evolving very quickly. Older Americans move more slowly than younger Americans – that’s okay (see advice point number one).

4.      Base your argument upon facts and American ideals – not emotions. Yes, children are cute and gays have “experience” on this issue. But that alone does not build an argument. Remember, either all men are created equal or they are not. Americans know this.

5.      “I want what you have.” Ask for nothing more than equality. We want what you got – just the same, nothing more.

6.      Help people understand the issue; don’t expect them to know it. Often mere ignorance and time are your foes – not other Americans.

7.      Most Americans have good friends and even family members that are homosexuals. Let Americans come to this issue out of a concern for their friends and family members. No one wants to be scolded.

8.      Finally, anticipate concerns regarding the results of equality for homosexuality. Clergy members are concerned about being forced by law to ‘celebrate the gay agenda.’ Many are concerned about “professional homosexuals” that aggressively force others into a position of alienation. Be aware that “your” intentions are not by definition shared by everyone. Most folks simply don’t like militant movements. Follow the lead of Dr. King – lead us to the waters of redemption and then give us sufficient time to wade into the waters.

    What can the GOP do? Embrace “Log Cabin Republicans” now. Use the bully pulpit of the party to let these folks speak. Then listen to what they have to say. For some this will be an emotional experience. For some it will be informative. For most, homosexuality is not something “they asked for.” Let us take yet another step and lead the way that allows our friends, our family members and our fellow Americans to fully embrace the American ideal that in this land, truly, all men are created equal. (Then fix the damn budget)

The cold hand of catastrophe


The Barking RINO 3

The cold hand of catastrophe

According to the Wall Street Journal (03/24), “The national Republican Party’s new 97 page blueprint for rebuilding the GOP makes no fewer than 30 mentions of the need to become more welcoming and inclusive, mainly on immigration and social issues.” [1]

The national party is telling us, ‘We were wrong and the need to set a new course is at hand; that is if the GOP wants to win elections at the Federal level.’

As we look at the notion of inclusion, whether in terms of immigration, homosexuals or RINO’s, what’s clear is “our tent” is too small and current ideology is not sufficiently pragmatic to lead to election victory. As the report states, the GOP lost the popular vote in last five out of six Presidential elections.

Instead of wallowing in a short term idealistic agenda that leads to losses at the polls, GOP leadership must look over the horizon for long term solutions to real world problems. This strategy is contrary to elected official’s tendency to provide last minute band-aid solutions to real world problems: for example, the budget and the debt.

Think about it, the real miracle of the Sequester is that the GOP was able to cut the military budget without having to vote for such a cut. How convenient AND it can all be blamed on the lack of leadership by President Obama. Talk about manna from heaven! Such a move may be politically expedient but it is not leadership nor is it offering proactive solutions to the problems our great nation faces.

“We the People” have tolerated the empty offerings of dogma and thus allowed the Federal Government to compile a national debt that unborn generations of Americans are going to suffer paying off.  Congratulations, you and I have dropped the ball by accepting failed ideologies instead of demanding solutions. The root of this problem is in the mirror.

Specifically, as the voting public – what are we doing to address the budget mess? The ‘debate points’ from today’s heady GOP is to cut government and not raise taxes. Just like immigration, it doesn’t take much mustard to know this is no real solution. It is a self evident truth that both program cutting and tax hikes are in our future. Yet the GOP faithful abet foolishness by holding an ideal line against tax hikes. Mr. Obama is correct when he tells us we cannot “cut our way” to a balanced budget. And any fool can see it is nothing more than class warfare to suggest that we can tax the rich to solve this problem.
Rather than sticking our heads in the sand (again), let’s cut to the chase and demand real world solutions from OUR party. Let’s ask for REAL leadership on what is perhaps the most important issue facing our generation – fiscal responsibility. It’s too late to expect a balanced budget amendment to solve this problem.

So there are your choices; demand real solutions (which include tax hikes and cuts to programs you support) or engage in hollow dogmatic double-speak which leads to no solution, continued losses at polls and party leaders that are allowed to continue to serve up non-solutions disguised as solutions which, in our selfishness, ask for little sacrifice and engage in the comfortable but false illusion that hard problems can be solve with simple, short-term, painless solutions.

What’s clear is that the money and power of politics is moving against solving this problem. Elected officials are being bound by the unrealistic expectation which echo’s 1991’s failed promise of, “Read my lips, no new taxes.” The time to demand leadership which negotiates for specific expenditure cuts, that tenaciously eliminates waste and fraud and finally ends the ‘path dependency’ of antiquated government programs. THEN, and only then, are tax hikes on the table. A Wall Street Journal article (7/21/12) indicates that Canada was able to successfully tackle this problem with a platform of $7 in cuts for every $1 in tax hikes.[2] You probably missed it but during the Democratic Convention former President Clinton suggested a 2:1 ratio.
The challenge of such a bold and honest move is to support elected officials as they embark upon the risky journey where ‘your cow gets gored’ and ‘your taxes go up.’ We know what future our current path holds. America does not have to once again be foolish enough to wait until the cold hand of catastrophe touches us - we can begin solving this today if we choose to empower our elected officials to become leaders rather than casual pedestrians watching as the fiscal train wreck approaches ‘Destiny Station.’ Or we can allow the President’s partisan invigorating strategy of class warfare continue the failed policy of doing nothing. What is the legacy of our  generation? Decide. Do it today.

The Radical Obama


The Radical Obama

How radical is Obama? Asked a different way, which side of the political spectrum is pulling away from the median? There are at least two dynamics at play in this conversation; what is the trend of political thought in America today? Are the majority of American’s becoming more “progressive,” more conservative or is the ‘mushy middle’ static? A second question to ask is if the left party is moving further to the left or is the right moving away from the middle. As we all learned in High School Physic’s class, movement is relative to your position. Please bear in mind that these two movements (the parties and the majority of Americans) can be simultaneous. For example, the majority of American voters may be adopting a more progressive voting posture while the party on the right is moving away from the median American political position.

Suppose there is a line. In the precise middle of the line is the number ’50.’ To the right of the number fifty we begin to count down to the number one; 50, 49, 48… To the left of the number fifty we also begin to count down to the number one. If we allow that number 50 to represent the median political position of the average American voter’s self-identified political skew, the number 50 not only represents a politically moderate position but, in simple statistical theory (or the bell curve), the majority of voters are found “on” the number 50 (or right in the middle).

According to author and noted political scientist John Alrich, the historical tendency of our political spectrum is candidates “run to their fringe” (far-right, far-left) in the Primary and veer back toward the middle for the General Election. (In 2012 we watch as political moderate Mitt Romney was unable to veer back to the middle abdicating the voting bloc which ultimately chooses the President). Thus, according to Alrich, empirical studies tell us the nature of our political system is that it moderates both parties towards the middle. Political thought suggests that the candidate whose position most reflects the position of the median (or middle) voters wins the election: this is the Median Voter Theory. Recall, if you dare, Bill Clinton’s successful commandeering of the GOP’s agenda. This tendency towards moderation results in the common impression that there has been no significant difference between the two parties. IE: Republicans spent money as easily as Democrats.

In this ideal model, as the candidate veered back to capture the moderate bloc of voters, a Republican will try to land on the “50 marker” while his Democrat rival does the same. Suppose that the Conservative ‘lands’ on the number 47 whereas the Democrat lands on the number 48. What is the outcome? The result is probably a closely contested race; depending on numerous other factors; history, agenda, money, support, economy…

Now, apply this logic to the GOP today.

In the GOP today there are those within the party that clearly want to move away from the center. There are those that cleave towards ideology over the pragmatic necessity of winning elections. For example, this sort of fixation with losing is exemplified when reality tv personality, children’s author, tabloid subject and failed politician Sarah Palin is invited to C-Pac whereas the highly electable New Jersey Governor Christie is not. This ideological political stance is moving away from the number 50 or middle of the road towards the fringes. In this fictitious example, let’s suppose that leadership leads the party to adopt a political stance that ‘lands’ this sectional bloc of voters on the number 30 (40% away from the median voter). If the opposition party agenda “lands” at the number 40, (a sum movement of 20% towards the left), the opposition has moved the national agenda towards the left AND captured the majority of the median voters. Said slightly differently, moving too far from the ‘mushy middle’ abdicates a majority of the voters to the ‘less radical’ candidate who is none-the-less pulling the center of the voting majority further AWAY from a conservative position?

Now, I know there are some numbers in this example, and that this is nothing more than a simple model designed to help the Party understand that we need our moderate conservatives. The premises is relatively obvious; the more radical either party becomes, the opposition simple needs to be less radical in order to find victory at the polls.

If this model is a relatively good reflection that is worthy of your consideration, how then do we ‘win’ without compromise? The very nature of politics is compromise. If one is unwilling to compromise, then one must provide better ideas AND be able to discuss them at a level that most voters can comprehend. For example, regarding the run-away national debt, I would argue that asking unborn generations of Americans to pay the debt for money spent today is morally repugnant. How selfish can our society really be? And as Paul Ryan finally demonstrated with his idealistic budget proposal, American can neither tax, nor cut, our way out of this dismal fiscal mess. The sooner we belly up to the table with real, pragmatic solutions, the sooner your kids and grandkids to their share of the American dream.

In the end, E.E. Shattschneider suggests that political parties must solve problems in order to win elections. Once a party is no longer able to solve problems it is quickly shoved out of the way by ‘political realignment.’ When fully a third of registered Republican voters view the national party as “too radical” and “out of touch” we are engaged in a losing philosophy wresting match. Said succinctly, at the national level our ideas are not framed as winning positions. The movement of the Republican Party to the right will not ‘save the nation’ but rather abdicate the nation to an opposing political philosophy which, I suspect, most Republicans fear.

Once abdicated, the median voter moves further towards the left of the median 50, thus making it harder to earn their vote without stepping across that magic number 50 and into the ‘left spectrum’ of political ideas. We, the party faithful, must engage in passionate debate armed with better ideas which embrace moderate yet adhering to fundamental Conservative philosophies.

Comments welcome…

What is the Function of a Political Party

The Barking RINO One

One needs to ask, “What is the role of a political party?” Recently the tug-of-war between Karl Rove and Iowa Congressman Steve King pits the growing rift within the Republic Party between a pragmatic approach to winning elections and the oft-heard position that it is better to lose an election and maintain philosophical ideals than to compromise. As the religious right learned between 1976 – 2004, the nature of politics is compromise.

In 1995 research by noted Political Scientist John Aldrich indicated that, “Defections from party lines and split ticket voting are far more common for all major offices at national, state and local levels today than before the mid-1960’s. (Aldrich, 1995 ). A recent study by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press (conducted Feb. 13 – 18,  2013) indicates that while American’s view the GOP as “more principled” thirty percent of registered (voters) Republicans indicate they feel their party is “out of touch with the American people” and “too extreme.” (GOP Seen as Principled, But Out of Touch and Too Extreme, 2013)
If one wanted to create a toxic concoction to stifle future Republican success at the election booths, they could not do a better job than we seem to have done ourselves.

Because “principles” and pejorative labels continue to push likely conservative voters out of the party structure, the girth of independent voters is swelling. (Wolf, 2011) What’s clear is voters are more willing than ever to cross party lines to vote and, given sufficient negative reinforcement; at least 30% of registered Republicans appear strongly disillusioned with the current party strategies. (Think about it, we could not beat an incumbent whose Administration was responsible for managing two wars, an unemployment rate that had nearly 1 in 10 Americans out of work, passage of the uniformly unpopular AHA and unprecedented debt: do you think we’ll do better if 3 out of ten Republican voters actually leave the party?) The last Presidential election demonstrated that it is delusional to suggest that ‘if we are the only game in town, they will have to vote with us.’ Poll turnout rates indicate that voters are more than willing to sit out an election where the “cost of voting” exceeds the ‘value of voting.’

It is also evident that little at the moment is giving this mobilized bloc an incentive to stick around. Any strategy that fails to embrace current party moderates will assure victories…for opposition candidates. Couple these with the national move to embrace Hispanics voters and a successful Republican Party will look very different in the near future. Are we preparing for these changes?
To answer the opening question, the singular purpose of a political party is to win elections; preferably for like-minded candidates. When dogmatic struggles for control of the party consume the party’s ability to put forward electable candidates, we need to stop and reconsider our motivations: challenging the ideas that are losing elections. Are the ideas valid? How do we know? We know by answering the question, “What is the role of government?” I suggest that “your” government ends at “my” front door.

If the ideas are valid what course of action can be taken to incorporate these ideas while widening the tent? What are the ideas that widen the tent? Strategy demands that we consider whether we want to be a distant voice from the grandstand; peanut galleries of hope that tosses in the occasional ‘good idea’ or whether we want to continue to own a chair at the ‘big table?’ The efforts of a principled niche may be able to spoil an election here and there but it will not put its candidates in the winner’s circle for long and it is only by electing candidates that a place at the big table can be assured.

Works Cited

Aldrich, J. H. (1995 ). Why Parties? The Origin and Transformation of Political Parties in America.Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
GOP Seen as Principled, But Out of Touch and Too Extreme. (2013, February 26th ). Retrieved from Pew Research: http://www.people-press.org/2013/02/26/gop-seen-as-principled-but-out-of-touch-and-too-extreme/

Wolf, R. (2011, December 20th ). Voters leaving Republican, Democratic parties in droves. Retrieved from USA Today: http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2011-12-22/voters-political-parties/52171688/1